ByKeith Zhai
and Pooi Koon Chong
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China funds going to projects like port, roads, bridges
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Malaysia says it is balancing its relationship with China
The Straits of Malacca have been a gateway for China for centuries in its quest for power.
A story blended from Malaysian history and folklore says an emperor sent a princess called Hang Li Po to
marry the Sultan of Malacca in the Ming Dynasty, offering a ship filled
with gold needles. He also sent a blunt message. “For every gold
needle, there is a subject. If you can count the number of needles, you
will learn the true extent of my power,” the emperor reportedly said in a
letter.
Hundreds
of years later, China is again seeking influence in Malaysia as it
spreads its economic and military clout through Southeast Asia. It is investing billions in a $7.2 billion redevelopment that will see Malacca, long the haunt of Chinese traders, become a new deep sea port.
It is also providing funds for infrastructure
projects down the eastern seaboard of Malaysia, key heartland areas for
Prime Minister Najib Razak ahead of an election that could be held this
year. New roads and bridges may help him woo ethnic Malays, but the
money could come at a long-term cost.
“The
closeness with China is an Achilles heel for Najib,” said Mustafa
Izzuddin, a fellow at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore.
“While investment coming in will balloon government coffers and boost
the economy, the opposition is using the China card to criticize the
government for becoming too close to China and accusing it of selling
Malaysia’s sovereignty.”
China’s
investment in Malaysia has risen since Xi Jinping took power in 2012,
with the president describing ties with Najib as the "best ever."
Beijing is readying a state visit by Xi to Malaysia in the coming
months, according to three people with knowledge of the plans who asked
not to be identified given the sensitivity of the discussions.
China
has committed to import goods worth $2 trillion from Malaysia over the
next five years (a nearly eight-fold jump from 2016 imports over that
period), invest up to $150 billion in the country and offer 10,000 places for training in China.
Najib brought home $33.6 billion in deals when he visited China in November—the biggest haul yet between the countries—plus an agreement to buy four patrol boats from China.
China
has been Malaysia’s largest trading partner since 2009, displacing
Singapore, with two-way trade last year valued at $83.4 billion. China
is Malaysia’s biggest export market.
Malaysia,
like Singapore, has strong historical links to China. About a quarter of
its population is ethnically Chinese, and traders for centuries stopped
at ports in Malacca and Penang to sell silk, tea and porcelain while
buying cinnamon and nutmeg. There is even a fusion cuisine based on
Chinese and Malay ingredients, called Peranakan or Nyonya.
Chinese
companies accounted for 8 billion yuan ($1.2 billion) in construction
projects in Malaysia in 2015, DBS analyst Chong Tjen-San said in an
April report -- nearly half the total value of projects clinched by
foreign contractors.
“We are going to be drawn into the economic gravity of China,” said Steven CM Wong,
deputy chief executive of the Institute of Strategic and International
Studies Malaysia, at a conference on Xi’s Belt-and-Road trade project in
Kuala Lumpur last month. “Just as if you are in North America, you are
drawn into the economic gravity of the United States,” he said. “This is
not what we want or we don’t want. It’s just the way things are.”
Still,
the money risks being caught up in domestic politics. Najib’s critics,
including former premier-turned-opposition leader Mahathir Mohamad, say
the country will need to cede influence to China in exchange for its
money, and that local businesses will lose out.
“Much
of the most valuable land will now be owned and occupied by
foreigners,” Mahathir wrote on his blog in January. “In effect they will
become foreign land."
Najib, in an article published
in May in the South China Morning Post before a visit to China, said
that he made “no apologies for wanting to build world-class
infrastructure for Malaysia that will, with local ownership being
preserved, open up huge swathes of our country.” His office did not
respond to requests for comment.
Some analysts
said Najib risks being painted as too close to China. While the
countries both claim parts of the disputed South China Sea, for example,
Malaysia has been mostly quiet on China’s military build up in the
region.
“There
are perceptions that Najib is being bought by the Chinese,” said
Bridget Welsh, a political scientist at John Cabot University in Rome
and author of “The End of UMNO? Essays on Malaysia’s Dominant Party.”
“Within
Malaysia, China’s interventions have the potential to bring about
greater ethnic tensions and political instability, as well as affect
Malaysia’s relationships with its neighbors,” she said.
The
Malacca Strait already has sufficient port facilities, according to
opposition Selangor state legislator Teng Chang Khim. “Why can’t you
make use of the present ports?” Teng said at the Belt-and-Road
conference.
Deputy Secretary General for Trade Isham Ishak said the government would seek to balance its relationship with China.
“We
want to make sure that there’s fair value in terms of investments from
China into Malaysia,” he said at the same conference. “It’s not only
about Chinese products coming in, Chinese money coming in, and Chinese
foreign workers coming in.”
Investment
in infrastructure is good for Malaysia whether it comes from China or
the U.S., according to Xu Bu, China’s ambassador to the Association of
Southeast Asian Nations.
“Whoever comes to power
that really doesn’t matter,’’ he said in a July interview. “Whoever
comes to power in Malaysia, the leaders or the people in Malaysia they
need investment.’’
Harrison
Cheng, a senior analyst with Control Risks in Singapore, said there
were signs of unease in some quarters of Najib’s United Malays National
Organisation about Chinese investments.
Still,
UMNO’s core voters are more interested in bread-and-butter issues, he
said. “There has yet to be any strong signs of a serious backlash within
UMNO and the public.”
Take a closer look at the forces shaping Malaysia's economy, politics and markets
—With assistance from Karlis Salna, Shamim Adam and Hannah Dormido.
Ref:https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-31/chinese-money-pouring-into-malaysia-could-help-najib-razak-with-votes
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