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Tuesday, March 13, 2018

Muslim Demographics a threat to Europeans



5 facts about the Muslim population in Europe

Muslims are a relatively small minority in Europe, making up roughly 5% of the population. However, in some countries, such as France and Sweden, the Muslim share of the population is higher. And, in the coming decades, the Muslim share of the continent’s population is expected to grow – and could more than double, according to Pew Research Center projections.
These demographic shifts have already led to political and social upheavals in many European countries, especially in the wake of the recent arrival of millions of asylum seekers, many of whom are Muslims. In recent national elections in France and Germany, for instance, immigration — and particularly Muslim immigration — were top issues.
Using Pew Research Center’s most recent population estimates, here are five facts about the size and makeup of the Muslim population in Europe:
1France and Germany have the largest Muslim populations in Europe (defined as the 28 current European Union member countries plus Norway and Switzerland). As of mid-2016, there were 5.7 million Muslims in France (8.8% of the country’s population) and 5 million Muslims in Germany (6.1%). The EU country in which Muslims make up the largest share of the population is Cyprus: The island nation’s 300,000 Muslims make up about one-quarter (25.4%) of its population, and are mostly Turkish Cypriots with deep roots in Cyprus (and not recent migrants).
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The Muslim share of Europe’s total population has been increasing steadily and will continue to grow in the coming decades. From mid-2010 to mid-2016 alone, the share of Muslims in Europe rose more than 1 percentage point, from 3.8% to 4.9% (from 19.5 million to 25.8 million). By 2050, the share of the continent’s population that is Muslim could more than double, rising to 11.2% or more, depending on how much migration is allowed into Europe. Even in the unlikely event that future migration is permanently halted, the Muslim population still would rise to an estimated 7.4%, due to the relative youth and high fertility rates of Europe’s current Muslim residents.
3Muslims are much younger and have more children than other Europeans. In 2016, the median age of Muslims throughout Europe was 30.4, 13 years younger than the median for other Europeans (43.8). Looking at it another way, 50% of all European Muslims are under the age of 30, compared with 32% of non-Muslims in Europe. In addition, the average Muslim woman in Europe is expected to have 2.6 children, a full child more than the average non-Muslim woman (1.6 children).
4Between mid-2010 and mid-2016, migration was the biggest factor driving the growth of Muslim populations in Europe. An estimated 2.5 million Muslims came to Europe for reasons other than seeking asylum, such as for employment or to go to school. About 1.3 million more Muslims received (or are expected to receive) refugee status, allowing them to remain in Europe. An estimated 250,000 Muslims left the region during this period.
Natural growth was the secondary driver: Among European Muslims, there were 2.9 million more births than deaths during this period. Religious switching is estimated to be a small factor in Muslim population change, with roughly 160,000 more people switching away from Islam than converting into the faith during this period.
5Views of Muslims vary widely across European countries. A 2016 Pew Research Center survey conducted in 10 nations found that negative views about Muslims prevailed in eastern and southern Europe. However, the majority of respondents in the UK, Germany, France, Sweden and the Netherlands gave Muslims a favorable rating. Views about Muslims are tied to ideology. While 47% of Germans on the political right give Muslims an unfavorable rating, just 17% on the left do so. The gap between left and right is also roughly 30 percentage points in Italy and Greece.
Note: This is an update of a post originally published on Jan. 15, 2015.



MIGRATION STUDY 

Muslim population in some European countries ‘could triple’ by 2050′


Three scenarios based on differing levels of migration were mapped out in a report, suggesting that even if all migration immediately stopped, the Muslim population would continue to grow
THE Muslim population in countries across Europe could triple by 2050, a report has suggested.
Finland's Muslim population alone could increase by more than four times, while the UK could see an increase of 2.65 times in little more than a decade, according to projections made in the study.

 According to one of the medium projections for 2050, 16.7 per cent of the UK population will be Muslim
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According to one of the medium projections for 2050, 16.7 per cent of the UK population will be Muslim

Around 6.3 per cent of the UK's population is currently Muslim - compared to the percentage of 4.9 across Europe - with the country potentially reaching 17.2 per cent in the high migration scenario, to the Washington-based Pew Forum report suggested.
The report said countries like Germany and Sweden that would see the biggest growth in Muslim population, stating: "Countries that have received relatively large numbers of Muslim refugees in recent years are projected to experience the biggest changes in the high migration scenario."
Under the highest level projections, one in five people in Germany would be Muslim by 2050, Sweden is expected to see almost one in three.
The report examined three scenarios - where migration into Europe was to completely and permanently stop immediately, where all refugee levels would slow but that the migration of those who come for reasons other than seeking asylum would continue, or finally that the flow of refugees into Europe would continue indefinitely.

Top 10 destinations of migrants

United Kingdom - 1,600,000
Germany - 1,350,000
France - 790,000
Italy - 720,000
Sweden - 450,000
Netherlands - 310,000
Switzerland - 280,000
Austria - 240,000
Belgium - 230,000
Spain - 210,000
*Total immigrants to Europe between 2010-2016
Under the projection of high migration, that percentage could be as high as 14 per cent.
Even under the first projection where migration would stop completely, Europe's Muslim population was predicted to grow by 7.4 per cent.
The report identified the UK as the desired destination for a larger number of migrants from outside Europe, with 1.6m people arriving in the country between 2010 and 2016.
It stated: "The UK voted in a 2016 referendum to leave the EU, which may impact immigration patterns in the future."
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